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Harris vs. Trump: Latest round of pre-election polls show real shock expected on Election Day
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Harris vs. Trump: Latest round of pre-election polls show real shock expected on Election Day

STATEN ISLAND, NY — With just days left before Americans choose the next president of the United States, it’s impossible to predict who will win. the race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.

After taking the Democratic lead in July, Harris overtook Trump, leading in nearly every national poll for about a month.

But Trump has since surged back, narrowing the gap significantly and, in some cases, taking the lead over Harris in various national polls.

Now, with about 60 million Americans already voting early and millions more expected to flood their local polling places on Tuesday, it appears to be anyone’s game, with some polls favoring Trump and others in favor of Harris.

Here’s a look at how both candidates performed in some of the most recent national polls.

REUTERS/IPSOS

A Reuters/IPSOS pollwhich includes responses from likely voters from Oct. 25-27, showed Harris leading Trump by one point, with 47% supporting Harris, 46% supporting Trump and the remaining respondents undecided or planning to vote for a third-party candidate. .

When expanded to include all 1,150 American adults surveyed, Harris maintained her one-point lead, 44% to 43%.

“While Harris has led Trump in every Reuters/Ipsos poll of registered voters since entering the race in July, her lead has steadily declined since late September,” Reuters’ Jason Lange wrote.

Among registered voters, 26% say the most important problem facing the country is the economy and unemployment, while 24% say political extremism and threats to democracy and 18% say immigration.

On key issues, voters thought Trump was better equipped to handle the economy and unemployment, 47% to 37%, and immigration, 48% to 33%, while Harris held a narrow lead in the management of political extremism, 40% against 38%. %.

With the election just days away, the vast majority of voters have already decided who they will vote for, including 93% of Republicans and 89% of Democrats.

ATLAS INTEL

A Intel Atlas Surveywhich includes responses from 3,032 likely voters between October 25 and 29, shows Trump ahead by two points, with 50% supporting Trump, 48% supporting Harris and the remaining respondents either undecided or are considering voting for a third-party candidate. .

The outlet’s polls have shown Trump leading in each of the four national polls conducted since Harris entered the race in July, although the current two-point lead represents a low for Trump during that span.

The majority of respondents said they intended to vote even before Election Day, with 39.5% planning to vote early in person, 27.3% planning to vote absentee or absentee, and 31 .1% planning to vote in person. on Election Day and other respondents were undecided about how they would vote.

Atlas Intel also released polls from each of the seven swing states this will likely decide the outcome of the election.

Polls show Trump leading Harris in six of seven key states, with North Carolina the only state leaning in Harris’ favor by a slim margin of 0.5%.

Polls show Trump leading in six other key states, with his largest margins in Arizona, where he leads by 3.5%, and Georgia, where he leads by 3.4%.

MORNING CONSULTATION

A Morning Consult surveywhich includes responses from 8,807 likely voters between October 25 and 27, showed Harris leading Trump by three points, with 50% supporting Harris, 47% supporting Trump and the remaining respondents were undecided or planning to vote for a party third party. candidate.

With 94% of Democrats supporting Harris and 92% of Republicans supporting Trump, independent voters could hold the key to the election.

According to the poll, Harris currently leads by six points, 49% to 43%, in this crucial group of voters.

Harris has maintained a lead among younger voters, ages 18 to 34, currently garnering 54% support among that group, compared to Trump’s 44%.

As has been the case since announcing her campaign, Harris continues to lead by a significant margin, 83% to 14%, among black voters.

RASMUSSEN REPORTS

A Poll Rasmussen Reportswhich includes responses from 2,397 likely voters between October 24 and 28, shows Trump leading by two points, with 48% supporting Trump, 46% supporting Harris and the remaining 6% are undecided or considering voting for a third party . candidate.

Trump had led by as much as seven percentage points in the previous Rasmussen Reports poll, although Harris slowly narrowed the gap, even managing to tie Trump in the rankings. the media poll from two weeks ago.

However, Trump has now reestablished his lead and will go into the election with a two-point advantage, according to the outlet.