As of Sunday at 4 p.m. ET, Invest 97L has become Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen. Continuous coverage of Potential Tropical Cyclone 18 moved here.

An emerging weather disturbance in the Caribbean Sea is increasingly likely to develop into a tropical depression Or tropical storm in the coming days, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

The system, called Invest 97L by the NHC, produced showers and thunderstorms which began to show signs of organization in the south-central Caribbean Sea as of Sunday afternoon.

Gradual development is expected in the coming days, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form as the system moves north toward Jamaica, the Cayman Islands and Cuba, according to the NHC . An air force Hurricane Hunter The aircraft was actively investigating Invest 97L on Sunday afternoon.

WHAT IS AN INVESTMENT DURING HURRICANE SEASON?

The prospects of Invest 97L in the Caribbean Sea.
(FOX Weather)

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“Interests in these places should monitor the progress of this system as it occurs Tropical storm watches or warnings may be needed later today or tonight,” the NHC said in its latest outlook.

With a subtropical system in the North Atlantic earn Patty’s name SaturdayIf this Caribbean disturbance reaches tropical storm strength, the next name on the 2024 Atlantic list would be Raphael.

“There is a disagreement between the computer forecasting models on the likely strength of Rafael when it enters the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast ranges from a low-intensity tropical storm to a Category 1 hurricane“, FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Brian Norcross said. “Flood Rain is possible on Caribbean islands west of Puerto Rico. The rich tropical moisture is expected to spread from south to north across the planet. Florida Peninsula from Tuesday.”

Risk of development of a tropical storm over the next 10 days.
(FOX Weather)

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Norcross says once the system is in the Gulf, forecasts become fuzzy with weaker steering currents adding uncertainty to the forecast.

“Once Rafael likely reaches the Gulf, the steering currents could weaken, meaning the system will move more slowly,” Norcross said. “Reasonable tracks for the end of the week are from the west towards Mexico Or Texas north toward the Florida Panhandle.

But the storm may still prove hostile atmospheric conditions if he tries to approach the WEwith lots of dry air in the Gulf of Mexico and unfavorable altitude wind model.

Steering models for the Caribbean tropical system.
(FOX Weather)

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“Hostile winds aloft are blowing over the northern Gulf and Southeast“, and unless long-term computer predictions are completely wrong, they will continue,” Norcross added. “All long-term projections significantly weaken the system before it reaches the Gulf Coast.”

Norcross warned that the forecast for slow systems is still very uncertain, and this one hasn’t even formed yet, so it’s important for U.S. Gulf Coast residents to stay informed throughout the week at come.

BRYAN NORCROSS: TROPICAL DISTURBANCES IN THE CARIBBEAN LIKELY TO BECOME TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL THIS WEEK

Another disturbance near the Bahamas could combine with Invest 97L

The NHC also monitors an area of low pressure near the southeastern Bahamas, but this system is unlikely to develop over the next few days.

The outlook for an area to watch near the Bahamas.
(FOX Weather)

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“The disorganized disturbances occurring over the Turks and Caicos Islands and southeastern Bahamas are unlikely to achieve anything,” Norcross said. “Its moisture is expected to be absorbed by the developing Caribbean system.”

The National Hurricane Center estimates that this system has little chance of developing into a tropical depression over the next few days. Even if that were to happen, it wouldn’t change the forecast weather, Norcross said.

HOW TO WATCH FOX WEATHER

A new area to watch emerges in the southwest Atlantic Ocean

According to the NHC, an area of ​​weather disturbances is expected to develop near the north of the country. Leeward Islands midweek.

Slow development of this system is possible thereafter, as it moves generally westward over the southwest Atlantic Ocean.

Currently, the NHC says it is unlikely to develop over the next seven days.

The outlook for an area to watch in the southwest Atlantic Ocean.
(FOX Weather)

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North Atlantic: subtropical storm Patty get away from the Azores

In the North Atlantic, Subtropical Storm Patty was moving away from the Azores on Sunday. It is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by Sunday evening, according to the NHC.

The forecast cone for Subtropical Storm Patty.
(FOX Weather)

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The Azores could receive an additional 1 to 2 inches of rain through Monday morning. Additionally, Patty could bring potentially deadly waves and return currents towards the archipelago.

Remnants of the storm could eventually reach Portugal and the west Spain early this week.