As the 2024 US presidential election approaches, former President Donald Trump finds himself in a position that could help his campaign despite the controversies surrounding him.

Over the past six months, the US election race has been quite unpredictable. President Biden stepped down and endorsed Kamala Harris as his successor, which initially appeared to boost his popularity in the polls. However, his connection with voters did not last long.

A major turning point occurred during the assassination attempt on Donald Trump. This event energized his supporters and swung public opinion in his favor, portraying him as a strong leader targeted by what some call the “deep state.”

On the other hand, Kamala Harris faced challenges in creating a clear and compelling message for her campaign. She has struggled to effectively respond to Trump’s tough stances on key issues like immigration, leaving her campaign exposed and at a disadvantage.

Here are five key factors that could work in Trump’s favor on the eve of the election.

1. Firm position on illegal immigration

Since his first term as president of the United States, Trump has been a strong supporter of “Make in America” ​​policies and has consistently opposed illegal immigration. His 2016 campaign focused on the idea that immigrants were taking jobs away from Americans. During his presidency, he began building a wall along the Mexican border, increased expulsions of undocumented immigrants, and imposed stricter rules on legal immigration, making it harder for immigrants to enter. people in the country.

As he campaigns for the upcoming election, Trump continues to emphasize his tough stance on immigration. He criticized President Biden for failing to effectively handle the crisis at the southern border and targeted Kamala Harris, calling her a “border czar” and blaming her for problems there. During a controversial debate, Trump even falsely claimed that illegal immigrants in Ohio were attacking pets and harming local people.

2. The fight against the ruling power becomes a key factor

Joe Biden’s final year in office was marked by two major wars, which earned him criticism for his inability to resolve them. As the United States and its allies continue to support Ukraine in its fight against Russia, concerns are growing about rising inflation. At the same time, Israel ignored US demands for a ceasefire in Gaza, leading to intensified military actions in the Middle East, notably against Lebanon and Iran.

Donald Trump took advantage of this discontent by calling American aid to Ukraine illegal during his rallies, promising to put an end to it if he was elected. Many voters view him as a strong leader who can effectively resolve conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East while fighting inflation.

In a recent poll, 53% of voters said they thought Trump was better able to protect the United States from foreign threats.

3. Elon Musk defines narratives

Over the past six months, Elon Musk has become a significant supporter of Donald Trump. The world’s richest man invested more than $119 million in Trump’s campaign group, America PAC, and actively campaigned in key regions like Pennsylvania, where he attended college. Musk’s platform, X, has become a major channel for pro-Trump messages, with numerous tweets and stories promoting Trump going viral every day. Additionally, several previously banned right-wing voices returned to the platform, where Musk allowed them to spread misleading information about Kamala Harris under the guise of free speech.

4. Allies play a central role

MAGA supporters have called Kamala Harris a weak candidate, pointing to her struggles with difficult television interviews and governance issues. In contrast, Trump’s team is presented as strong and competent, suggesting that voting for Trump means supporting influential figures like Elon Musk, JD Vance, Robert Kennedy Jr. and Vivek Ramaswamy. This message presents Trump’s potential cabinet as a group of powerful and assertive leaders, reinforcing his campaign’s image of decisive leadership and effective policymaking.

5. Trump’s legal freeze

Former President Donald Trump is currently facing four criminal cases, and Election Day could have a significant impact on his legal situation. If he wins the election, it could delay or even eliminate his legal troubles for at least four years. However, if he loses, he risks being convicted and tried soon after.

If Trump did not run for president, his legal problems would become more pressing. He faces sentencing on criminal charges related to hush money payments, and he has upcoming trials regarding his efforts to overturn the 2020 election results. Additionally, a case involving mishandling of classified documents, which had previously been rejected, could be reinstated upon appeal.