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    • Here’s what the polls are saying right now
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    Here’s what the polls are saying right now

    Umito Posted on

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    The surveys are officially open across Florida for Election Day, which closes at 7 p.m. Between mail-in ballots and early voting in the state, there have already been more than 8 million votes counted.

    THE race for the Oval Office is tight, with various national polls showing the vice president Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump lead each other by a slight difference. In Florida, several polls show that Trump recover the state’s 30 electoral votes.

    Florida Election Results 2024: Live updates, maps for every state race

    Here is what are the polls and ratings say it now, one day before Election Day.

    Things to Keep in Mind About Surveys

    The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on how representative the survey results are for the entire population, USA TODAY reports.

    When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to Pew Research Center.

    Pew also found that the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

    Florida Election Results 2024: Live updates, maps for every state race

    Who is currently leading the polls and favored by the odds?

    Polls and ratings are constantly changing. These figures were reflected on Tuesday, November 5, 2024 at 10 a.m.

    270towin

    270towina website offering an interactive map of the Electoral College, shows Harris currently leading Trump by 1.2%. This increased compared to yesterday by 0.1%

    THE Florida website survey shows Trump leading Harris by 6.2%.

    ABC News 538 Project

    ABC News 538 Project shows that Harris has a slight advantage over Trump, with 48.1% to 46.9%.

    According to ABC News, the website provides an updated average for each candidate in the 2024 presidential elections, taking into account the recency of each poll, sample size, methodology and house effects.

    Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls.

    The economist

    In their latest update for The Economist forecast After the presidential election, they found that Harris’ chances of winning increased from 50% to 56%. Of the 67 surveys released yesterday, 44 gave Harris numbers better than their forecasts expected.

    But even with this advance The economist I still didn’t feel like the margin was decisive.

    “His new lead is small enough that it can barely be called a lead, and it would not be surprising if Donald Trump won by a decisive margin,” they wrote. “But it is widely believed that Ms. Harris had a stronger week to end the campaign than Mr. Trump, and the latest set of polls entering our model confirms that.”

    Polymarket

    Polymarketcrypto trading platform expresses rising odds from betting public, shows Trump outpacing Harris by around 25% On election morning, Trump was at 62.3% to Harris’s 37.9%.

    Real clear survey

    Real clear surveya website that shares up-to-date election polls for 2024, says the betting odds currently favor Trump with a spread of +0.1.

    Reuters/Ipsos

    An October 29 poll conducted by Reuters/Ipsos shows Harris having a 1 point lead over Trump.

    “The three-day poll, completed Sunday, showed the election was effectively tied ahead of the Nov. 5 election. The poll had a margin of error of about three percentage points in either direction,” the poll said .

    Center for Public Opinion Research (CPOR) at Stetson University

    According to Stetson University SurveyTrump has a notable lead over Harris among likely Florida voters.

    The survey, conducted between October 25 and November 1, found that Trump had a 7-point lead, garnering the support of 53% of likely voters, compared to Harris’ 46%.

    The poll surveyed 452 likely voters, with results weighted by age, ethnicity, race, gender, education, party affiliation and geography to reflect the country’s historical voting patterns. ‘State. The survey has a credibility interval of +/- 5%.

    Allan Lichtman reveals his choice for the 2024 presidential election

    Presidential Historian Allan Lichtman is a distinguished professor of history at American University and predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris would win the 2024 presidential election over former President Donald Trump.

    According to USA TODAY, Lichtman uses a set of 13 “keys” to make his choice, ranging from economic indicators to candidate charisma.

    Lichtman, 77, has correctly predicted the outcome of almost every election in the past half-century except the 2000 election, in which Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.

    Here’s what you need to know about Election Day in Florida today

    ➤ Live updates for Lee County: Get the latest Fort Myers area news here.

    ➤ Live updates for Collier County: Get the latest news on the Naples area here.

    ➤ Live updates for Sarasota County: Get the latest news on the Sarasota-Manatee-Bradenton area here.

    ➤ Live updates for Brevard County: Get the latest news from Melbourne and other areas of the Space Coast.

    ➤ Live updates for Volusia County: Get the latest Daytona Beach area news here.

    ➤ Live updates for Marion County: Get the latest Ocala area news here.

    ➤ Updates for Lake County: Get the latest Leesburg area news here.

    ➤ Live updates for Polk County: Get the latest Lakeland area news here.

    ➤ Live updates for Palm Beach County: Get the latest West Palm Beach area news here.

    Where to Vote in Florida: Where is the 2024 Election Day polling location near me?

    Here is a list of every county in Florida and their corresponding precinct lookup links, taken from Voter.org:

    Contribute : Rachel Barbier And Rebecca MorinTHE UNITED STATES TODAY

    Umito
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