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Trump Claims ‘Suppression’ After Kamala Harris Wins Iowa Poll
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Trump Claims ‘Suppression’ After Kamala Harris Wins Iowa Poll

Former President Donald Trump joined a chorus of Republicans criticizing the Des Moines registry. latest Iowa poll that showed her trailing Democrat Kamala Harris by 3 percentage points.

At a campaign rally in Lititz, Pennsylvania, on Sunday, Trump attempted to discredit the poll results released Saturday night, calling them “suppression.”

“It’s called repression. They delete,” Trump said. “And it should actually be illegal.”

J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., the firm that conducts the Iowa poll, said in a statement Sunday that it is common for candidates to question unfavorable polling.

“I think this poll has a good chance of motivating Republicans to get out and vote,” Selzer said. “Maybe they thought they would win easily. It is therefore difficult to think that this is a repression.

The Iowa poll showed Harris leading Trump 47 to 44 percent among likely Iowa voters — those who have already voted or say they will “definitely” vote. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

It was a surprising result in a state that Trump had already carried twice. The poll ignited the Internet Saturday night and fueled Sunday talk shows as analysts demoed the results and observers produced memes on social media.

On social truth On Sunday morning, Trump touted his support for Iowa farmers and disparaged the poll, calling it “a Trump hater who called it totally wrong last time.”

But the Iowa poll a long history to accurately assess the state of the race the weekend before general elections, including the last two presidential elections.

In 2016 and 2020, the Iowa poll was one of the few polls that took into account Trump’s unexpected strength heading into Election Day.

In 2016, the Iowa poll showed Trump up 7 percentage points against Democrat Hillary Clinton before finally won the state by 9 percentage points.

And in 2020, it showed him ahead of Democrat Joe Biden by 7 points before winning the state by 8 percentage points.

Earlier this year, the Iowa poll showed that Trump leading Biden by 18 percentage points.

Despite this, the former president dismissed the results on Sunday. His team pointed to a separate survey conducted by Emerson College that found shows him in the lead in Iowa.

“And we even have polls up,” Trump said at his rally in Pennsylvania. “But I think it’s a lot more than the polls. You know the polls, I tell you, you can blackmail these assholes. You get the good pollster you can do – and you do it – you really inflict damage. You know when you like this person from Iowa Today, the election is basically, we’re talking about Turkey, and it comes out in a different poll than all the other polls Because it wasn’t even. in question. It’s really the opposite. I’m very high.

Iowa Republican leaders joined in his dismissals, calling the Iowa poll an outlier.

“Iowa Republicans are leading in early voting for the first time in decades and have increased our voter registration advantage by more than 130,000,” said Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds. tweeted Saturday evening. “President Trump will win Iowa if we vote and our friends participate. Let’s prove the Des Moines Register wrong once again! »

THE Final Iowa Poll in 2018 Governor’s Race showed Reynolds down 2 percentage points from his Democratic challenger — a result that was also within the poll’s margin of error. She ended up winning with approximately 3 percentage points.

Iowa Democrats welcomed the outcome while warning their supporters to continue volunteering, knocking on doors and voting.

“The fact that Vice President Harris is now ahead of Donald Trump in the latest Des Moines Register poll is obviously very exciting for us,” Iowa Democratic Party Chairwoman Rita Hart said at a conference. press Saturday evening. “But I recognize that people here in Iowa are smart and they know the difference between a poll and the results of an election. We still have three days before these elections. So remember, this is just a poll, and what really matters is that Iowans show up and make their voices heard.

House Democratic Leader Jennifer Konfrst, Rep. Windsor Heights, said she was “pleasantly surprised, but not shocked” by the results.

She said the results match what she’s hearing on the ground from women across the political spectrum following the GOP-backed six-week abortion ban. came into effect earlier this summer.

“They’re tired of politicians intruding into their doctors’ offices and looking up and down the ballot box for people who are actually going to fight for their freedoms,” Konfrst said. “And this issue is important and real, and the fact that Vice President Harris, all the way to the candidates for the Iowa House, are talking about the same rights and freedoms, shows that this is what Iowans are looking for .”

Election day is Tuesday and polling stations are open from 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.

Brianne Pfannenstiel is the chief political reporter for the Des Moines Register. She also covers the 2024 presidential race for USA TODAY as a senior national campaign correspondent. Contact her at [email protected] or 515-284-8244. Follow her on Twitter at @brianneDMR.

This story has been updated to add video.