Former president Donald Trump has seen its chances of winning the 2024 presidential election improve in recent hours according to a prominent bookmaker, buoyed by changes in Pennsylvania and Arizona.

On Tuesday at 4:20 a.m. ET, UK-based betting company Betfair gave the Republican candidate odds of 4/6 (60%) for victory, compared to 6/4 (40%) for his Democratic rival, the vice president Kamala Harris. However, as of 12:50 p.m. ET, Trump’s rating had been reduced to 5/8 (61.5%), while Harris’ rating had been extended to 8/5 (38.5%).

Voters are heading to the polls across the United States for what recent polls suggest will be a razor-thin election. An analysis of recent polls released Tuesday morning by election website 538 puts Harris 1.2 points ahead of Trump in the national vote, with 48 percent of the vote to 46.8 percent. However, due to the electoral college system, Trump could lose the popular vote and still win the election, as he did in 2016 against Hillary Clinton.

The change in Betfair’s overall odds since this morning is due to an improvement in Trump’s odds in the battleground states of Pennsylvania and Arizona.

In Pennsylvania, which has 19 Electoral College votes, Trump’s chances of victory rose from 52% as of Tuesday morning to 58%, according to Betfair. Over the same period, Trump’s odds of winning Arizona, which comes with 11 Electoral College votes, improved from 73% to 78%.

Betfair spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said News week: “Bettors’ confidence in the former president continues to grow as the Republicans appear to be getting closer to victory in two key states: Arizona and Pennsylvania.

“Republicans now have a 2/7 (78 percent chance) of winning in Arizona and a 5/7 (58 percent chance) in Pennsylvania,” Rosbottom said. “Trump’s chances have declined in both states over the past few hours. He is ahead in five of the seven swing states.”

News week contacted the Trump and Harris campaigns for comment Tuesday via email.

A model based on artificial intelligence Created by Aaru for media outlet Semafor, Harris is favored to win five of the seven battleground states.

The model, which relies on creating “a thousand or more” AI bots for each state representing voters, concludes that the vice president is most likely to win in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Pennsylvania. Wisconsin. However, Trump led in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina. If all other states reissued their 2020 election results, that would be enough to give Harris victory.

Final election forecasts released by 538 As of Tuesday, Harris has a 50 percent chance of winning the election, just ahead of Trump with 49 percent. The data was based on 1,000 election simulations and last updated at 6 a.m. ET.

However, a Decision Desk HQ/The Hill forecast released Tuesday gave Trump a 54 percent chance of victory compared to Harris’ 46 percent. The average projection gave victory to the Republicans with 276 votes in the Electoral College (you need 270 to win), ahead of Harris’ 262.

Speaking to reporters in Palm Beach, Florida, as he cast his vote, Trump insisted he would. concede if he loses a “fair” election.

“If I lose an election, if it is fair, I will be the first to recognize it,” he said. “So far, I think it’s been fair.”

Trump continues to insist that the 2020 presidential election was stolen from him through fraud, although this claim has been repeatedly rejected in courts and by independent election experts.