• Experts wonder why Donald Trump won the US election.

• They highlighted Trump’s strength on immigration and the economy, as well as the global trend of voters punishing incumbents.

• Here are some of the sharpest analyzes we’ve seen on Trump’s victory.

There has been an avalanche of analysis following Donald Trump’s comments. victory in Wednesday’s US presidential election, experts say research to explain how the former president won a second term.

They offered a variety of reasons, ranging from a populist revolt against elites to Vice President Kamala Harris’ shortcomings as a Democratic nominee.

Here are some of the best reviews we’ve seen.

Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins University

Hanke, a professor of applied economics and former adviser to President Ronald Reagan, told Business Insider in an email: “American voters have reacted negatively to the American elites running the show in Washington, the media, etc. the result was a revolt against the elites. »

Nate Cohn, chief political analyst for the New York Times

“Trump won across the board — including among voters who seemed most skeptical of him eight years ago, from Hispanic voters in New York to tech workers in San Francisco.

“None of this is what Democrats would have imagined a decade ago, when many of them believed that demographic and generational change would bring a new Democratic majority. Instead, many voters that “Democrats saw it as the foundation of their coalition and became so frustrated with the status quo, they decided to support Mr. Trump instead.”

Tina Fordham, strategist and independent advisor

“Trump’s victory is the most striking example this year of a political and economic environment that has been brutal to incumbents around the world and has driven home the fact that inflation is political kryptonite.

“This lesson will not soon be lost on governments: growth is not enough if prices are high and wages are seen not to keep pace.
The dividing lines in American politics remain sharp across geography, education and gender, with the strongest support for Trump coming from working-class men. This outcome will leave many Americans not only angry, but also fearful.

“At the global level, it is undeniable that Trump’s victory will result in a transformation for both the United States and the international system, with heightened geopolitical and economic risks.”

Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight and author of the Silver Bulletin newsletter

Silver republished a lengthy article from late October titled “24 reasons why Trump won.“

These reasons include inflation, negative perceptions of the economy and nostalgia for Trump’s first term, slow wage growth, a cultural shift to the right, disillusionment among male and minority voters, and Harris’ late nomination.

Other reasons Silver cites include Trump’s ability to convince voters he is on their side and his success in appealing to fringe voting groups; the Israel-Hamas war which divides the Democratic base; assassination attempts against Trump strengthening his favorability; and Harris’ inability to explain his shift from left wing to moderation or to articulate a clear vision for America.

Matthew Yglesias, author of the Slow Boring newsletter

“I think ‘don’t name women’ would be the worst possible conclusion”, Yglesias written the. “Many women perform better in elections, and since most Democrats are women, if you are biased against their nomination, you will starve the party of talent. Learn from those who win!”

“Trump has made a lot of impossible and often contradictory promises and he will have problems,” Yglesias said. another post. He added in a follow-up tweet: “The obvious fact is that Trump has managed to both reassure a healthy portion of the population about the right to abortion while retaining the enthusiastic support of those who really want to ban abortion . Difficult to thread a needle!”

Dominique Sandbrook, historian, commentator and author

Sandbrook said Podcast The rest is politics that Kamala Harris failed to garner sufficient support from female, Latino, and black voters, while Donald Trump had “a history of outperforming in the polls…particularly in rural areas, in the South and the suburbs.

He argued that Harris and Hillary Clinton had similar weaknesses, with a portion of the electorate reluctant to consider a female commander in chief.

Many voters were also “wary” of a mixed-race woman from California who “seems to be the embodiment, for lack of a better phrase, of the metropolitan liberal elite,” Sandbrook said.

Eric Corellessa, TIME national political correspondent

“THE Hasty replacement of Democrats of the first presidential term with Harris deprived them of a better-tested candidate who could have potentially garnered broader support. Voters took into account Trump’s advancing age and his increasingly incoherent rhetoric. Much of the country views Trump’s legal woes as part of a larger corrupt plot to deny him and them power. And he has benefited from global unrest in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic that has ousted sitting leaders around the world.

“Whenever abortion came up, Trump insisted that the issue was now up to the states and focused as much as possible on the economy, immigration and crime – issues that the campaign said were triggering anxiety among wealthy suburban women who were open to abortion supporting it.

“Musk also turned X, his social media platform, into a cauldron of conspiracy theories and framed race issues as existential to his more than 200 million followers.”

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