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    Lichtman fails to correctly predict presidential election outcome

    Umito Posted on

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    He was wrong.

    Or the The American people have decided.

    Allan Lichtman, the historian who predicted 9 of the last 10 elections, failed to accurately predict who voters would choose to become the 47th president of the United States.

    In a breathtaking political comebackformer president Donald Trump defeated the vice president and Democratic candidate Kamala Harris has reclaim the White House Tuesday evening.

    “Right now, after a very long night, I’m taking some time to evaluate why I was wrong and what the future holds for America,” Lichtman told USA TODAY Wednesday morning.

    Lichtman, a professor at American University, predicted Harris would narrowly beat Trump.

    Trump, who lost the 2020 election that propelled President Joe Biden to the seat, has overcome political obstacles including two impeachments, a criminal conviction and two assassination attempts.

    At the end of a podcast of almost six hours greeted by his son Samuel Lichtman on Tuesday, the 77-year-old history professor said he was shocked by the result of the election.

    Live election updates: Latest reaction to Trump’s victory; Will Harris concede?

    “See you on Thursday for a discussion about what happened”

    In a post on X later Wednesday morning, Lichtman thanked “all the loyal members, subscribers and viewers of our live show” and said he would speak about his incorrect prediction later this week.

    “We will continue and evaluate the results of last night,” he wrote. “Please tune in Thursday at 9 p.m. Eastern to discuss what happened.”

    The next American vice president: Cincinnati resident and Middletown native JD Vance will take the seat

    “At some point, mathematics no longer works”

    The famous tipster had says its “13 keys” system showed that Harris would win.

    Using his system, Lichtman has now correctly predicted 9 out of 11 presidential elections since 1984. His only other fault came in 2000, when Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.

    Lichtman touted the results of nationwide exit polls showing that democracy has become a major issue among voters, with the economy still in first place, followed by issues such as abortion ( 14%) and immigration (11%).

    “If she can win Pennsylvania, she still has a good chance,” Lichtman said just before the show’s final hour before the Nevada results came in. “She’s running out of voice.”

    Pennsylvania was later called Trump.

    “At a certain point, math doesn’t matter anymore,” his son said toward the end of the interview. “This show has just been crazy…I think we’re both a little surprised.”

    Lichtman: ‘I think she lost’

    In the final hour, as Lichtman and his son analyzed the votes in the swing state of Pennsylvania, his son called the election.

    “I think she lost,” her son said during the final 10 minutes of the show.

    “Me too,” Lichtman responded immediately, then placed both hands on his temples. “Something ridiculous would have to happen…I’m still looking for a miracle in Pennsylvania but I don’t think we’ll achieve it.”

    “I got a lot of very nice emails,” Lichtman told his son, “saying that no matter what, they greatly respect my vote.”

    “The math doesn’t work,” Lichtman said. “The numbers don’t lie.”

    “I can’t believe it,” his son said. “I’m a little bit in shock right now.”

    His father replied, “It’s hard to believe.” »

    What is true? What is wrong? Register for USA TODAY’s Checking the Facts newsletter.

    Contributor: Jonathan Limehouse.

    Natalie Neysa Alund is a senior reporter for USA TODAY. Contact her at [email protected] and follow her on X @nataliealund.

    Umito
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