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The Electoral College, Turnout, Closest Races, and Who Controls Congress
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The Electoral College, Turnout, Closest Races, and Who Controls Congress

Wednesday afternoon, the Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris delivered a speech conceding victory to Donald Trumpwho won the 2024 presidential election.

Trump has won at least 295 electoral college votes, more than was needed to push him past the 270 line and become president-elect of the United States. Even though two states (Arizona and Nevada) have not yet been called, Trump has already exceeded the number of votes to ensure his return to the White House.

Votes will continue to be counted and certified in the coming days and weeks, so these numbers may not be final. But at this point in the race, here are the numbers you need to know from the 2024 presidential election, from voter turnout to Senate control.

Read the full election results here.

1. The electoral college

Trump won at least 295 votes in the electoral college, compared to 226 for Harris.

Although Arizona and Nevada have not yet been officially called, both states show that Trump is in the lead at this point.

This means that Trump could achieve a stronger election victory than incumbent President Joe Biden in 2020, and Trump’s first victory in 2016.

All of these winner’s totals, however, are lower than those of many modern presidents, including Barack Obama, Bill Clinton and Ronald Reagan.

Trump is still on track to win the popular vote, but those numbers are still being determined as more counties report their results.

2. Participation remains high

According to current projections from the University of Florida Election Lab, turnout remains near the 2020 record.

National turnout was estimated at 64.5 percent this year, with about 158 ​​million ballots counted out of 245 million eligible voters.

Note that ballots are still being counted, including mail-in ballots.

In 2020, approximately 65.9% of the population went to the polls, the highest participation rate since 1900.

This year, Minnesota (home of Democratic vice-presidential candidate Tim Walz) had the highest turnout of any state, 76.5 percent; however, this figure is down 3.5 percent from 2020.

In contrast, Trump’s stronghold, Oklahoma, had the lowest turnout of all, with just 53.3 percent of the population. However, the situation has improved compared to 2016, when less than half of the population voted.

3. So far, four states have flipped

Only four states “flipped” in this election, all going from Biden to Trump: Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Not surprisingly, these were four of the seven key states that were poised to decide the next president.

All four states were won by Biden in 2020, who flipped them by Trump in 2016.

Trump maintained his hold on the fifth swing state, North Carolina, by about 3.4 percent.

Arizona and Nevada make up the other two states that, when called, could push Trump to a total victory in a swing state.

4. The Closest Races and Biggest Wins

Although votes are still being counted, at this point at least 13 states have been won with less than a 10 percent difference between the two candidates.

Aside from swing states, Harris’ victory in New Hampshire was the closest of any state, with a 2 percent margin down from Biden’s 7.3 percent margin in 2020.

Harris also lost 10 percent of Biden’s lead in Connecticut, ending up with just 9.7 percent ahead of Trump.

Meanwhile, the largest victory went to Harris in the District of Columbia, where she led Trump by 85.7 percent.

Most of the strongest statewide gains, however, are attributed to Trump.

These include Wyoming (46.2%), West Virginia (42.3%), and Idaho (36.7%), all states in which Trump had a larger lead than in 2020.

5. The composition of the Senate and the House

Final numbers are still being determined for the House and Senate races.

Yet the Republicans have already won majority in the Senatewith 52 Republican senators so far, compared to just 44 Democrats, and four seats remaining to be called.

Republicans reached the 51 mark for a simple majority, necessary to approve appointments and the budget, for example. But many other laws require 60 of 100 votes to pass, a figure Republicans are unlikely to reach.

Previously, neither party had a clear majority in the Senate, but the 47 Democrats came together with 4 independents to gain a 2-seat majority over the 49 Republicans.

The Democrats entered this election with a slight disadvantage since 18 of the 34 seats to be filled were previously held by Democrats and 4 by independents, compared to 11 for the Republicans.

So far, Republicans have managed to flip three Senate seats, two to Democrats and one to Joe Manchin, a former Democrat but registered as an independent earlier this year.

The House of Representatives is still too tight to call either the Republicans or the Democrats, with 39 seats still pending.

Currently, the Republican Party holds 206 seats out of 435 and the Democrats hold 190. Previously, the Republicans had a small majority in the House.

6. President, House, Senate: triple threat?

The Republicans took control of the Senate and Trump was elected president.

Although the future of the House remains uncertain at this point, a Republican majority is entirely possible.

As Trump touts his “powerful and unprecedented mandate,” should Democrats be concerned about the potential triple threat?

A triple victory in the House, Senate and executive branch has occurred six times since the 1990s.

In fact, Trump and Biden enjoyed two years of party control over these branches of government during their presidencies.

However, with the Supreme Court also favoring Republicans, there may well be an unprecedented power imbalance for the government.

7. Voter Demographics

Overall demographic data on how people voted is still being processed, but exit from the polls NBC News suggest clear trends.

While we expected a divide between men and women during this election, the final gap was smaller than some predictions.

The greatest divisions occurred between men and women from different racial groups.

Warnings of a shift among black men toward Trump turned out to be true, with exit polls showing one in five people choosing Trump over Harris.

Meanwhile, just 7% of black women voted for Trump, the lowest rate of any group.

Among Latinos, men were 17% more likely than women to vote for Trump.

Actually, Latino men generally came out for Trumpat 55 percent to 45 percent for Harris.

Election results are still being counted and confirmed in many states, so the numbers above are not final. Check back with the Independent for more analysis.