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College Football Playoff bracket for Week 12: Projecting top four seeds, first-round matchups and bubble teams
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College Football Playoff bracket for Week 12: Projecting top four seeds, first-round matchups and bubble teams

Georgia is not in the College Football Playoff this week.

Before you panic, notice we said “this week.” The Bulldogs lost 28-10 to No. 16 Ole Miss on Saturday — and if the College Football Playoff committee honors that correctly, it’s going to lead to a huge swing.

Georgia – which was ranked #3 in the first series of rankings – should fall to 10th in the College Football Playoff rankings with its second loss. Ole Miss – which was ranked No. 16 – would have to move up seven spots to No. 9 – which would put the Rebels in last place overall.

In this scenario, the Bulldogs would be eliminated as Miami, BYU and Boise State would take the field as conference champions despite being ranked behind Georgia. The bottom two at-large teams would be Alabama and Ole Miss. Is this justified? Georgia beat Texas 30-15 on October 19, but Ole Miss beat Georgia. The Rebels lost two points to Kentucky and LSU, which could lead the committee to keep Georgia a spot or two ahead of Ole Miss in Tuesday’s rankings.

That’s not even where the outrage will be. The ACC and Big 12 will have projected conference champions — in this case BYU and SMU — who will be seeded lower than the Bulldogs but will be in the playoff field. Good luck controlling that.

Does Georgia deserve to be part of it now? The Bulldogs have committed three or more turnovers in four of their last six games, and they haven’t appeared to be part of a national championship machine outside of the second half against Alabama and the first half. -time against Texas. Kirby Smart can use that as motivation — and we wouldn’t be surprised if the Bulldogs win and make the College Football Playoff. They would be back with a win against Tennessee in Week 12.

It’s next week. For this week, we leave Georgia aside.

Every week, Sporting News breaks down the 12-team College Football Playoff, featuring first-round byes, first-round matchups and bubble teams. Here’s what it looks like as we approach week 12:

Moved in: Ole Mademoiselle

Abandoned : Georgia

Predicted exclusions in the first round of the College Football Playoff

No. 1 Oregon (10-0, Big Ten champion)

The Ducks continue to navigate the Big Ten race. Dillon Gabriel set the FBS record with his 179th career touchdown in the third quarter of a 39-18 victory over Maryland. Gabriel (23 of 34, 183 yards, 3 TDs) added another touchdown pass in the fourth quarter to Evan Stewart. The Ducks held the Terps to 80 yards rushing, and that should be good for another week in first place. Oregon takes its final conference road trip to Wisconsin in Week 12, where it can take one step closer to a spot in the Big Ten championship game.

No. 2 Texas (8-1, SEC champion)

Texas is back on top of the SEC race thanks to the defeat of Georgia. The Longhorns beat Florida 49-17 and Quinn Ewers (19 of 27, 333 yards, 5 TDs) hit four different receivers for touchdowns and six different receivers for completions of 20 yards or more. There is no QB controversy until the final drive, and Texas has racked up 562 total yards. Texas travels to Arkansas to renew an old Southwest Conference rivalry in Week 12.

MORE: Quinn Ewers lights up Florida in easy Texas win

No. 3 BYU (9-0, Big 12 champion)

BYU’s enchanting season continues. The Cougars took advantage of a defensive holding penalty for a Utah fourth down on the final drive of the game, and Jake Retzlaff (15 of 33, 219 yards) did the rest in a 22-21 victory over the Utes. Will Ferrin’s 44-yard field goal with four seconds remaining ended a Holy War classic. BYU is the only undefeated one in the Big 12 race, and two of its last three games are at home, starting against Kansas in Week 12.

4. Miami (9-1, ACC champion)

Miami lost 28-23 to Georgia Tech; the Hurricanes’ second straight loss to the Yellow Jackets in as many seasons. Georgia Tech racked up 271 rushing yards and forced a Cam Ward fumble with 1:48 left to seal the upset. Ward (25 of 39, 348 yards, 3 TDs) again posted prolific numbers, but the Hurricanes’ constant flirtations with disaster eventually caught up. Miami still controls its destiny to advance to the ACC Championship Game, and although SMU is at the top of the standings, we still believe Miami can win the ACC Championship. General supply is probably out of the question.

MORE: Failed Miami rally ends perfect season

Projected College Football Playoff First Round Matchups

A look at the Sporting News projected games in the first round of the College Football Playoff ahead of Week 12 of the college football season:

No. 12 Boise State (8-1, Mountain West champion) at No. 5 Ohio State (8-1, Big Ten overall)

The Buckeyes outscored Purdue 45-0. Will Howard (21 of 26, 260 yards, 3 TDs) has completed multiple TD passes in seven straight games, and Jeremiah Smith (6-87, TD) caught his eighth TD pass of the season. Jack Sawyer punctuated the blowout with a fumble return for a TD, and Ohio State could be favored if a Big Ten championship rematch with Oregon materializes. Boise State beat Nevada 28-21 to maintain its lead in the Mountain West Conference race. Ashton Jeanty had 34 carries for 209 yards and three touchdowns. Army (9-0) is also in play for the Group of 5 playing spot.

No. 11 Ole Miss (8-2, SEC overall) at No. 6 Penn State (8-1, Big Ten overall)

We projected this confrontation several times throughout the process. Ole Miss has the best point differential in the SEC at plus-278, and the 28-10 win over Georgia showed that Lane Kiffin can win the big game. Penn State bounced back from its loss to Ohio State with a 35-6 victory over Washington. The Huskies only managed 193 yards. The Nittany Lions may not make the Big Ten championship game, but they are near the top when it comes to overall teams. That’s pretty good for a home game at Beaver Stadium. This would be a rematch of last year’s Peach Bowl, won by Ole Miss.

No. 10 Alabama (7-2, SEC overall) at No. 7 Tennessee (8-1, SEC overall)

The Crimson Tide routed LSU 42-13 behind four TDs from Jalen Milroeand that puts first-year coach Kalen DeBoer back in charge of a potential playoff run. Alabama also has a head-to-head win over Georgia in hand, and they lead the two-loss standings. Tennessee beat Mississippi State 33-14, but quarterback Nico Iamaleava and running back Dylan Sampson were injured. Their status will be closely monitored before a trip to Georgia. The Volunteers defeated the Crimson Tide 24-17 on October 19. How would they fare in a rematch?

MORE: Alabama blows out LSU, tightens crowded SEC race

No. 9 Notre Dame (8-1, Independent overall) at No. 8 Indiana (10-0, Big Ten overall)

Can you imagine the Irish playing a road game at Memorial Stadium in the first round of an in-state college football playoff game? The Hoosiers held on for a 20-15 victory over Michigan for the first 10-0 start in school history, and they have a week off to prepare for arguably the biggest game in the school history at Ohio State on November 23. has outscored its last four opponents 183-37 – and that trend continued in a 52-3 victory over Florida State. There’s a chance the Crimson Tide moves ahead of the Irish in the next round of rankings, but we’ll stick with the one-loss team.

Projected Bubble Teams for the College Football Playoff

Georgia (7-2, SEC)

Georgia committed three turnovers in a 28-10 loss at Ole Miss, and the Bulldogs have a point differential of 109. Texas, Tennessee and Ole Miss are above 200 and the Crimson Tide have a win head to head against Georgia. The Bulldogs can come right back with a win against Tennessee, and the final three games will be played at Sanford Stadium.

MORE: Carson Beck’s struggles continue in loss to Ole Miss

SMU (8-1, ACC)

The Mustangs are atop the ACC standings, but they will still be a few spots behind Miami in the standings. SMU is averaging 40.1 points per game and has managed to stay perfect in ACC play. The 18-15 loss to BYU on September 6 is the only blemish. Quarterback Kevin Jennings leads the conference with 15.0 yards per completion, and that major offense returns in Week 11 against Boston College. SMU controls its own destiny in the ACC championship race.

Texas A&M (7-2, SEC)

The nature of the Aggies’ season changed after the 44-20 loss to South Carolina, but they had a week to adjust to the loss of running back Le’Veon Moss, who suffered a knee injury ending the season against the Gamecocks. Texas A&M has one more conference loss, but they would need to win – including the regular season finale against Texas – to stay in the race under first-year coach Mike Elko. That Week 1 loss to Notre Dame still hurts. Texas A&M takes on New Mexico State in Week 11.

Colorado (7-2, Big 12)

Hello Colorado. The Buffaloes will likely be ranked one spot behind Kansas State based on the 31-28 loss on October 12, but the Buffaloes have just one conference loss while the Wildcats have two and they are tied for the first place in the Big 12. Colorado beat Texas Tech 41-27. Shedeur Sanders (30 of 43, 291 yards, 3 TD) and Travis Hunter (9-99, TD) could both be Heisman Trophy finalists. Second-year coach Deion Sanders continues his winning streak, and Utah is next in Week 12.