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Breaking: Beyond Headlines!

Who will control the United States House of Representatives? Uncalled races in Southern California play important role
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Who will control the United States House of Representatives? Uncalled races in Southern California play important role

House control is still too tight to decide, according to the Associated Press. There are a lot of bump votes in Western states, like California, where multiple competitive races are taking place.

Democrats need a net gain of 4 seats to win the majority.

  • Democrats have so far reversed 4 seats and are leading in 1 more of the remaining 10 competitive seats held by Republicans.
  • Republicans overturned 3 and are leading in 2 of the remaining 10 competitive seats held by Democrats.

If all of this holds true, Democrats would be at +5 and Republicans at +5, resulting in a net gain of 0 for either party.

This would mean, The Republicans would retain the House with a majority of 4 seatswhich is their current margin.

There are many very tight margins, as shown in the table below. The seats to watch are Colorado District 8, Arizona District 6, and California Districts 21, 27, and 47:

A Closer Look at SoCal’s Close Races

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LAist has been closely monitoring the close races in California, four here in Southern California.

As more mail-in ballots are counted in Orange County, the latest totals put Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of President-elect Donald J. Trump by a razor-thin margin. In the previous vote count, Trump was in the lead.

And competitive congressional races have tightened.

  • In District 47, Democrat Dave Min remains slightly ahead of incumbent Rep. Scott Baugh (R) with less than 1% of the vote so far.
  • In District 45, challenger Derek Tran (D) gained daily ground against incumbent Rep. Michelle Steel (R). His lead was down to about 3,900 votes as of Monday.
  • And in District 27, Democrat George Whitesides edged out incumbent Mike Garcia (R) for a narrow victory. Garcia conceded the race Monday, calling his time in Congress the “honor of his life.” Whitesides used the same language to thank his supporters for electing him.

According to figures released Monday by CO election officials, about 212,000 votes remain to be counted there — that doesn’t include additional mail-in ballots postmarked on Election Day that may arrive before Nov. 12.

Megan Garvey

District 24: Levin vs. Gunderson

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Neighborhood Notes: Stretching from southern Orange County to San Diego, the district includes Camp Pendleton. More than half of the residents are white and about 25% are Latino.

Voter registration: 36.4% Democratic, 33.4% Republican, 23.0% no party preference

District 27: Whitesides vs. Garcia

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Notes on the neighborhood: Based in northern Los Angeles County, the district is home to the Antelope Valley and includes the high desert cities of Santa Clarita, Palmdale and Lancaster as well as parts of the city of Los Angeles. The district is also home to several aerospace manufacturing companies and defense contractors. Hispanic residents make up nearly half of the district’s population.

Voter registration: 40.7% Democrat, 30.1% Republican, 21.5% no party preference

District 41: Rollins vs. Calvert

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Neighborhood Notes: The Inland Empire district, located in western Riverside County, is home to the heavily Democratic city of Palm Springs, famous for electing the the first fully LGBTQ country municipal council. But it also includes the vibrant city of Corona and more Republican parts of the county. The once deeply conservative district has shifted to the left over the years, in part due to an increasingly diverse population, including Los Angeles transplants, and 2021 redistricting.

Voter registration: 36.3% Democrat, 37.0% Republican, 18.6% no party preference

District 45: Tran vs. Steel

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Neighborhood Notes: The C-shaped precinct is located largely in northwest Orange County, but also extends into Los Angeles County (where at least 529,000 ballots remain to be counted countywide) . It covers towns such as Garden Grove and Buena Park and is home to Little Saigon, the largest Vietnamese enclave outside of Vietnam itself. Asian Americans – who make up 36% of the district’s population – are a key voting bloc. Latinos and whites each make up about a third of the district. This race is the most expensive in the country with more than 48 million dollars invested.

Voter registration: 37.3% Democrat, 33.0% Republican, 24.0% no party preference

District 47: Min vs. Baugh

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Neighborhood Notes: Stretching along the southern coast of Orange County, this district includes the Democratic city of Irvine as well as Republican-leaning cities such as Huntington Beach and Newport Beach. More than half of the residents are white, while Asians make up almost a quarter of the population.

Voter registration: 35.0% Democrat, 35.0% Republican, 23.7% no party preference

District information courtesy of LAist partner CalMatters.