close
close

Apre-salomemanzo

Breaking: Beyond Headlines!

    • Hurricane Sara expected to form this week and target Florida
    aecifo

    Hurricane Sara expected to form this week and target Florida

    Umito Posted on

    play

    Hurricane Saracurrently designated Invest 99L, is expected to form this week and head northwest – towards Florida – by the middle of next week, according to the latest information from AccuWeather.

    THE National Hurricane Center increased the probability of Tropical Storm Sara reaching 90% over the next two days before intensifying into a hurricane.

    AccuWeather has published a first Hurricane Sara Timeline This shows the storm could make landfall in South Florida by Wednesday.

    “Wind shear remains low over much of the Caribbean and waters are very warm (in the 80s F),” said AccuWeather chief meteorologist Bernie Rayno.

    “And now, with showers and thunderstorms starting to gather, it probably won’t be long before the tropical rain storm continues to organize into a tropical storm“.

    Like other hurricanes that have appeared in the Caribbean Sea this year, conditions could allow Sara to rapidly intensify, growing from an incipient storm to a major hurricane in just a few days.

    “There are multiple scenarios with this feature in the Caribbean that are related to the speed of development and early monitoring and that could affect land areas with landfall and direct impacts later,” said Alex DaSilva, senior expert in AccuWeather hurricane data.

    “Not only is there a good chance that this will strengthen into a hurricane by the end of this week, but it could also become a major hurricane very quickly – this weekend.”

    While the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season got off to a slow start, with an unusual lull early on, the end of the season was indeed supercharged.

    A typical season sees around seven hurricanes. Sara will mark the 12th hurricane of the season and has the potential to become the sixth major hurricane.

    When will we see Tropical Storm and Hurricane Sara?

    The National Hurricane Center predicts that Tropical Storm Sara has a high chance of forming within the next 48 hours. Afterward, AccuWeather suspects the storm will quickly intensify.

    “The rainstorm may intensify into a hurricane as early as Friday morning,” AccuWeather wrote in its latest update. “Further intensification is expected thereafter, and a major Category 3 hurricane (maximum sustained winds of 180 km/h or greater) is expected to strike the western Caribbean this weekend.”

    Hurricane Sara expected to make its way towards Florida

    Currently, conditions suggest the system will move slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea before turning northwestward early next week and potentially northeastward into midweek.

    AccuWeather released an initial timeline showing Sara rapidly intensifying from a tropical storm to a Category 3 hurricane between Friday and Saturday as it moves straight west.

    The storm will begin tracking northwest around Saturday afternoon. From there, Sara will maintain its major hurricane status as it moves north-northwestward through Tuesday morning. AccuWeather expects the storm to track northeast toward Florida’s Gulf Coast Tuesday afternoon.

    How will Hurricane Sara impact Florida?

    The exact impact of Hurricane Sara on Florida is still being assessed. Current data indicates that South Florida has the highest chance of experiencing at least some impact.

    A major hurricane would bring torrential downpours, flash flooding and strong wind gusts. Any affected area can expect property damage and power outages. A strong storm surge will also pose significant risks to lives and property.

    Sara’s Storm Track

    There are two possible scenarios that could lead to Hurricane Sara hitting Florida to some extent, and it all depends on a dome of high pressure along the South Atlantic coast of the United States.

    If the pressure moves away quickly enough and its cold front follows suit, we will see a stronger Hurricane Sara that will have a greater impact on Florida, according to AccuWeather. Guiding breezes could guide the system toward the Florida Keys and the southern part of the Florida Peninsula.

    If pressure persists and the ensuing cold front arrives a little more slowly, it will direct Sara toward Central America or southeast Mexico later this weekend and next week. Then Sara could pass through this area or take a turn towards the Gulf of Mexico.

    The more time Sara spends over land in the second scenario, the greater the chance that the storm will lose enough wind intensity to prevent it from becoming a hurricane again before approaching the Florida peninsula or possibly from the Florida panhandle.

    Rafael continues to impact area beaches along the Florida Panhandle

    The remnants of Hurricane Rafael continue to cause life-threatening rip currents and high waves in the Florida Panhandle.

    Residual swells from the storm are still present in the Gulf and will continue to cause locally rough waves and strong rip currents from Pensacola Beach to Panama City.

    AccuWeather says the remnants of Rafael will continue to loop around the western and central Gulf over the next few days, but wind shear will also continue to shred what’s left of Rafael’s circulation and moisture .

    “We expect some or most of Rafael’s remaining moisture to be drawn northward into the central Gulf Coast region by mid-week as another non-tropical feature — a front “Cold weather is moving west to east over the lower Mississippi Valley,” AccuWeather Meteorologist Grady Gilman said.

    Weather in the Pensacola area for the week of November 11-17

    The Pensacola area can expect a rainy week followed by cooler and drier conditions. Temperatures will fluctuate with highs in the 70s and 80s and lows in the mid-50s to low 40s as we get closer to the end of the week, depending on the National Weather Service Office Mobile/Pensacola.

    • Wednesday November 13 — There is a 50% chance of showers after 3 p.m. Wednesday. Skies are mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. It will be breezy, with an east wind gusting 15 to 20 mph and gusts as high as 30 mph. Wednesday evening there will be showers and a possible thunderstorm. The minimum will be around 70.
    • Thursday November 14 — There will be a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9 a.m. It will be mostly cloudy before conditions clear, with a high near 77. There will be a south wind around 10 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Temperatures will drop to around 53°C Thursday evening.
    • Friday November 15 — Friday will be mostly sunny with a high near 71 and a low around 52.
    • Saturday November 16 — Saturday will be sunny with a high near 74 degrees and a low near 57.
    • Sunday November 17 — Sunday will also be sunny with a high near 76 degrees and a low near 61.
    • Monday November 18 — Monday will be mostly clear, with a high near 77 degrees and a low around 66.
    • Tuesday November 19 — There is a 20% chance of showers Tuesday, but most of the area will be partly sunny. The maximum will be around 78 degrees.

    Pensacola Beach Weather & Flags

    Pensacola Beach will experience moderate to high rip currents through Friday, according to the National Weather Service Office Mobile/Pensacola.

    • Current flag conditions at Pensacola Beach: Double red flag
    • Current water temperature: 76 degrees.
    • Tomorrow’s Beach Flag Forecast: 40% red flag, 60% double red flag

    Current Pensacola Beach forecast:

    • Tuesday: Moderate – Life-threatening rip currents are possible. Beachgoers should swim near a lifeguard and heed the advice of the local beach patrol and flag warnings.
    • Wednesday: High – Life-threatening rip currents are likely. The waves are dangerous for all levels of swimmers.
    • Thursday: high
    • Friday: moderate

    Editor’s note: This story has been updated to include the National Hurricane Center’s latest designation of the storm and include spaghetti models.

    Umito
    View all posts

    You Might Also Like