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Florida could experience the impact of a hurricane. Spaghetti Patterns
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Florida could experience the impact of a hurricane. Spaghetti Patterns

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Tropical Storm Sara is expected to form later today after strengthening into a tropical depression Thursday morning, according to the latest update from the National Hurricane Center. Forecasters say he has the potential to hit Florida like a hurricane next week.

If so, it will be the fourth hurricane to hit the state this year. Fortunately, there are signs that this may not be a major problem.

The storm, now Tropical Depression 19, is expected to continue moving westward through Friday, the NHC said, and could make landfall in Honduras. Forecasters are predicting heavy rain and life-threatening flooding in parts of Central America, but what it does next depends on several factors, including whether it moves inland or stays near the coast (or offshore), if an area of ​​high pressure in the Atlantic pushes it. and how fast an approaching cold front moves.

Spaghetti Patterns for Tropical Depression Nineteen

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Spaghetti Patterns for Tropical Depression 19

Special note regarding spaghetti models: The illustrations include a range of forecasting tools and models, and not all are equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the four or five best-performing models to make its forecasts.

Tracking Tropical Depression Nineteen: Where Will It Go?

Satellite images of tropical depression nineteen

What else does the National Hurricane Center track?

Weather Watches and Warnings Issued in Florida

Countdown: When will hurricane season end?

When does hurricane season end in Florida?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30. But tropical storms can form at any time.

The Atlantic Basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico.

Stay informed. Receive weather alerts by SMS

What’s next?

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(This story has been updated with new information.)