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Who is leading in the RI polls? Kamala Harris heavily favored in final UNH poll
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Who is leading in the RI polls? Kamala Harris heavily favored in final UNH poll

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Democrats at the top of the list – including Vice President Kamala Harris And US Senator Sheldon Whitehouse — have a double-digit lead in Rhode Island according to a recent poll, but voters may be sharply divided along gender and fears of election “interference” is high.

The final University of New Hampshire Survey out of 753 active voters, Rhode Island voters found:

  • Men and women surveyed differ significantly in their presidential choices: Women prefer Harris to Trump between 66% and 31%, while men prefer Trump to Harris between 52% and 40%.
  • Concerns are high, particularly among Democrats, over attempts to interfere or change the outcome of elections using “unlawful or violent methods,” as occurred on January 6, 2021.

Rhode Island Poll Shows Widespread Concern About Election Interference

More precisely :

  • A striking 84% of respondents say they are very (54%) to somewhat concerned (30%) that “people will attempt to interfere with the electoral process using illegal or violent methods.”
  • 82% fear that next year, “political leaders will use illegal or violent methods to gain or maintain power.”

  • 77% fear that political leaders they support will be violently attacked because of their political beliefs.

Other Takeaways: Favorability and the U.S. Senate Race

Some other points to remember: Trump’s running mate, Sen. JD Vance, is viewed much less favorably (33%) than Harris’ vice president’s running mate, Gov. Tim Walz, at 49%.

Beyond the presidential race, the UNH Investigative Center found that U.S. Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse, a Democrat seeking a fourth term, was ahead of his Republican challenger, state Rep. Patricia Morgan, of 54% to 40%. Nearly half of Rhode Island voters (49%) have a favorable impression of Whitehouse, compared to 27% having a favorable impression of Morgan.

What do voters think of a Constitutional Convention?

Regarding Question 1 on the ballot – whether or not RI should hold its first Constitutional Convention since 1986 – opposition has grown since the last UNH poll on the issue.

Nearly half of likely voters – 47% – now say they plan to vote against the issue, while just 34% say they plan to vote in favor. Democrats generally oppose such a convention while independents and Republicans are divided on the issue.

In September, 39% favored the issue and only 28% opposed it. A total of 753 people responded to the survey between October 29 and November 2, 2024. The potential margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3.6 percent.