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Latest investigations into Harris vs. Trump
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Latest investigations into Harris vs. Trump

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Election Day It’s only three days away and polls for the presidential election continue to suggest a close race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.

National polls provide insight into national voters and some recent ones suggest Trump may have gotten ahead of himself. Meanwhile, an exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk poll released Friday showed Harris and Trump tied in Pennsylvania, the swing state with the most electoral votes. But the Electoral College system means that the race is likely to be decided by seven battleground states.

Harris and Trump will appear Saturday in events in North Carolina – one of these Swing States. Trump has planned appearances in Charlotte and Greensboro, as well as Salem, Virginia. Before an event in Charlotte, Harris will attend an afternoon rally in Atlanta — Georgia is also a swing state.

Here are the latest polls suggesting where the race stands.

Latest Washington Post poll: Harris and Trump neck and neck in Pennsylvania

Harris leads Trump by a percentage point in a new The Washington Post poll likely voters and registered voters in Pennsylvania, another swing state. Harris is at 48% among likely and registered voters, while Trump is at 47% — statistically a dead heat with a margin of error of ±3.1 percentage points — in the poll released Friday.

The poll of 1,204 registered voters, conducted Oct. 26-30, also gave respondents the choice of a third-party candidate.

The new poll also found strong voter enthusiasm among the state’s two parties, which is crucial to each candidate’s path to victory. Twenty percent of those surveyed said they had already voted, while 73 percent said they were certain to vote, “which represents 94 percent of the electorate, after rounding the percentages,” a indicated the Post.

Harris leads Trump nationally and in key states, Forbes/HarrisX poll finds

Harris leads Trump 49% to 48% among likely voters nationally and has the same narrow margin in all seven battleground states, according to a report. HarrisX/Forbes Poll released Thursday.

The survey was conducted among 4,523 registered voters and 3,718 likely voters – including 910 in battleground states – from October 27 to 29 (margin of error: ±1.5 percentage points).

Harris’ lead in battleground states has narrowed HarrisX/Forbes Poll released a week earlier; at this point, Harris had a 50-46% advantage. Some voters remain undecided, according to the latest poll, with 10% of likely voters and 16% of all registered voters still weighing their choices.

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Detroit Free Press poll: Harris on the rise in Michigan

Harris leads Trump in Michigan in a new direction Detroit Free Press poll published Friday. The poll of 600 likely voters surveyed Oct. 24-28 shows Harris leading 48 to 45 percent, with a margin of error of ±4 points. The Detroit Free Press is part of the USA TODAY Network.

An interesting finding from the poll: The number of undecided respondents was less than 1 percent, according to pollster Bernie Porn of EPIC-MRA, the Lansing, Mich., research firm that conducted the poll. , said he wasn’t sure he’d seen it before. . “This is an unusual election,” he said.

Trump leads in Florida, latest Stetson poll shows

Trump takes Harris in Florida in a new direction Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research Pollpublished Friday. The poll of 452 likely voters, surveyed Oct. 25-Nov. 1, found Trump leading 53% to Harris’s 46%, with a margin of error of ±5%.

That’s a greater margin than the 51.2 percent of votes Trump received in the presidential election. 2020 presidential election and 49% of the votes in 2016 election.

MassINC poll: Harris leads in Massachusetts

In the blue state of Massachusetts, Harris appears to enjoy the same support that President Joe Biden and candidate Hillary Clinton received from voters in the 2020 and 2016 elections, the report suggests. MassINC Polling GroupFinal poll of Massachusetts voters, released Friday.

Harris leads Trump 61% to 31% in the poll, based on an Oct. 29-Nov. 29 survey. 1 survey of 582 likely voters in Massachusetts (margin of error ±4.9 percentage points. In the 2020 election, President Joe Biden received 65.9% of the state’s vote, up from 32%, 1% for Trump. In the 2016 election, Clinton won 61% of the vote, compared to Trump’s 32.1%.

A note on polls

The margin of error measure describes how accurately we can count on the survey results being representative of the entire population.

When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to Pew Research Center.

Pew also found that the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

Contributors: Kinsey Crowley, Savannah Kuchar and Sam Woodward, USA TODAY; and Reuters.

Follow Mike Snider on X and Threads: @mikesnider & mikegsnider.

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