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How Trump Could Ban Abortion With or Without Congress
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How Trump Could Ban Abortion With or Without Congress

Top line

The election of former President Donald Trump has sparked fears on the left that the new president will restrict abortion, even though he has said he wants to leave it up to the states, and even though he is not Still clear if Congress would support a national ban, Trump would have several options for banning abortion without even needing approval from lawmakers.

Key facts

Trump has said publicly since April, he has wanted to leave abortion to the states rather than enact a federal ban, but both Democrats and his own supporters didn’t entirely believe him, with Russell Vought, co-author of the conservative policy program Project 2025, developer With undercover reporters from the Center for Climate Reporting, he “never saw (Trump) stand in the way of a pro-life initiative that is actually real” (Trump has sought to distance himself from Project 2025, which was written in part by his former staff).

National ban: Although it remains to be seen which party takes control of the House, at least the Senate will be in Republican hands, and a Republican-controlled Congress could attempt to pass a national abortion ban – even though it remains to be seen whether it would do so. pass and whether Trump would sign it into law, as he claimed during the election campaign, he would veto such legislation.

Comstock Law: Project 2025 and Trump’s vice presidential nominee, Sen. JD Vance, Republican of Ohio, have supported enforcement of the law. Comstock Acta long-dormant 19th century law that prohibits the mailing of any abortion-related material, which could be used to simply ban the mailing of abortion pills, or functionally ban abortion by blocking the shipment of any medical supplies or other equipment related thereto.

Trump made his first comments on the Comstock Act in August, saying CBS News when asked if he would enforce the law, “We’ll discuss it in detail, but generally speaking, no…I wouldn’t do that.”

Mifepristone: Trump could also appoint officials who would revoke Food and Drug Administration approval for mifepristoneone of two drugs used during a medical abortion – a proposal also outlined in Project 2025 – after Republicans have so far failed to restrict drugs through the courts.

After previously suggesting he might be willing to restrict mifepristone…adage during a press conference, “there’s a lot of things you can do on a humane basis” – Trump told CBS News that the drug “is going to be available, and it is now,” saying the Supreme Court decided to “keep (the drug’s approval) continuing as it is” (the court actually issued a more restrictive ruling decision saying that the challengers lacked standing to sue).

Fetal personality: Another way to prohibit abortion is to adopt the legal theory of “fetal personality”, which gives constitutional rights to fetuses and therefore requires that abortion be banned by extension, because if fetuses had rights, abortion would amount to murder.

Trump has not commented publicly on fetal personality, but the Republican Party acknowledged the theory in its official report. party platformwhich the Trump campaign says reflects the ex-president’s views.

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News

Trump won the presidential election Tuesday even as voters continued to signal broad support for abortion rights, suggesting the ex-president says he wants to leave the procedure to states that received electors. despite Democrats’ claims that it would go further. Vice President Kamala Harris’ campaign and her Democratic allies repeatedly warned before the election that Trump would ban abortion if elected, pointing to the 900-page 2025 plan. political program led by the Heritage Foundation, which presents a proposal to overhaul the executive branch that includes abortion through the FDA and the Comstock Act, even as Trump disavowed the 2025 plan. Voters voted in favor of the plan 2025. electoral measures favoring abortion rights in seven states in the general election, although a measure failed in South Dakota and Nebraska, they instead favored a competing measure banning abortion after 12 weeks. The Florida measure also fell short of the 60% threshold needed to pass, but was still supported by a 57% majority of voters. Vote by the Associated Press found that between 19% and 35% of voters supporting abortion rights measures in states where they were on the ballot also voted for Trump, suggesting they thought he would not ban abortion if elected.

Crucial quote

Trump reiterated his opposition to imposing a national ban on abortion in an August interview on “Fox & Friends” after Democrats claimed at their national convention that he would restrict abortion. “They’re saying at the convention, I want a federal ban,” Trump said, as quoted by CNN. “I would never do it, and they know I said it, there will be no federal ban. It’s now back in the states where it belongs.

What we don’t know

What loopholes Trump could explore. In his comments to undercover reporters, which were secretly recorded and then posted online, Vought also suggested that Trump could take smaller steps, such as defunding Planned Parenthood, telling reporters at the Center for Climate Reporting that he believed that Trump “had actually come up with a strategy that worked.” ” saying he will leave the issue to the states, ” as long as you give people like me in government the opportunity ” to adopt restrictions. “

Chief Spokesperson

Trump’s comments disavowing the Comstock Act and saying he would maintain mifepristone drew criticism from his anti-abortion supporters who want him to ban the procedure, Politico reportedwho claims that the ex-president is “cowardly” and threatens to lose the support of his base. It remains to be seen whether Trump will now give in to these supporters and take action against abortion now that he has been elected.

Large number

74%. That’s the share of women ages 18 to 49 who disagree with Trump’s view that abortion should be left to the states, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation. survey released in August. While support for keeping abortion legal fell largely along partisan lines, respondents from both parties opposed Trump’s position, with 86% of Democratic women and 53% of Republicans disapproving of the idea. leave the question to the States.

Key context

The Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade and federal abortion rights in June 2022, sparking a wave of state-level bans that largely benefited Democrats at the polls. With vote showing that a majority of Americans support that abortion remains at least mostly legal, Democrats have made abortion a key election issue, leading to a winning streak for the left in elections where abortion played a central role. Although eager to ban abortion, Republicans have largely been reluctant to denounce abortion on the campaign trail, with a number of Republican candidates even changing their websites or toning down their previous positions on abortion in order to not to seem too extreme. Trump has a history of about-face on his views on abortion, and has pushed to leave abortion up to the states even as he publicly boasts of having played a key role in overturning Roe v. Wade by appointing three conservative judges to the bench. The ex-president launched a 15-week national ban on abortion before deciding to send the issue back to the states, despite pressure from anti-abortion advocates to take a tougher stance .

Further reading

ForbesWhat Americans really think about abortion: Sometimes surprising poll results as DNC gets underway
ForbesAbortion vote results: Florida and Nebraska reject new protections, Montana adopts abortion rights amendment
ForbesJD Vance and Project 2025 want to use this 19th century law to ban abortion – without Congress
ForbesRepublican platform rejects abortion ban, but Trump could ban it using this theory
ForbesAbortion pills: What to know about mifepristone as the Supreme Court upholds the drug
ForbesProject 2025 Explained: Democrats Attack Controversial Right-Wing Political Map for Trump at DNC