NFL Week 10 concludes with a Monday Night Football game between the Dolphins (2-6) and Rams (4-4). Each team’s record may not catch your eye, but Miami and Los Angeles’ rosters have the talent to earn playoff spots.

Tua Tagovailoa has been back for two games and both were close losses. NFL Week 10 odds indicate a similar outcome against the Rams. Will this finally be the game where Miami’s defense does its part to end a three-game losing streak? Check out my expert predictions and best bets for Monday Night Football.

Dolphins vs. Rams Predictions and Best Bets

• Rams -2.5: -114 odds at FanDuel
• Kyren Williams on 87.5 rushing yards: -110 odds on bet365

*Note: Odds are based on the best value found by our experts at the time of publication; check the lines closer to game time to ensure you get the best odds.

The Rams have a clear coaching and QB advantage with Sean McVay and Matthew Stafford, so I’m on the hot hand and betting Los Angeles -2.5. LA has three consecutive victories while Miami’s last victory dates back to October 6 against the lowly Patriots.

According to TeamRankings, the Rams are just 3-5 against the spread (ATS) but have covered in back-to-back games. The Dolphins are 2-6 against the spread and 1-2 as a road underdog.

Los Angeles’ offense is firing on all cylinders when WRs Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua are available, and neither is listed on this week’s injury report. RB Kyren Williams is quietly having a tremendous year, recording 718 all-purpose yards and 10 touchdowns.

I’m also backing Williams to surpass his prop in rushing yards, as the Dolphins allow the fourth-most fantasy points against RBs, according to Pro Football Reference. Miami is inconsistent against the run and allows 120 yards per game.

Hosting an East Coast team on Monday night is another plus for the Rams. Additionally, WR Tyreek Hill is questionable and did not participate in practice Friday and Saturday.

WR Jaylen Waddle has been unreliable, which could cause major problems if Hill can’t contribute. Waddle has averaged just 17 yards over the last three games.

Dolphins vs. Rams Moneyline Odds Analysis

Why the Rams could win as a favorite

Best odds: -140 at Fanatics

Los Angeles’ defense has exceeded expectations since the Week 6 bye, giving up 20 points or fewer in three straight games. The defensive line is young and showing notable improvements each week.

Pressuring Tagovailoa is essential to controlling Miami’s offense. Tua gets the ball out quickly but LA has the personnel to disrupt his timing.

Williams and Nacua will be X-factors. The Dolphins have trouble containing pass-catching RBs, and last week they provided proof of that. The Bills RBs had 95 receiving yards and a touchdown in a win over Miami.

Nacua only appeared in three games, and even then his playing time was limited. Puka was injured early in Week 1 and was forced out before halftime in Week 9. In his only complete game, Nacua had seven catches for 106 yards.

Why the Dolphins Could Win as Underdogs

Best odds: +126 to the Caesars

The Dolphins have won their last five meetings against the Rams. Tua’s return has yet to result in a victory, but the defeats give hope. Miami faced the Cardinals (6-4) and Bills (8-2) and lost by four points overall.

It wasn’t enough to get wins, but running with the ball was effective in those games. The Dolphins are averaging 149.5 rushing yards with three touchdowns since Week 8. If Hill is inactive or hobbled, Miami’s rushing attack needs to step up to mitigate the loss.

A big day from RB De’Von Achane would be monumental. Achane has 268 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns since Tua’s return. Miami’s defense has been solid against the pass, which will come in handy against Stafford and Co. Miami is sixth in average passing yards allowed and third in passing touchdowns.