Whether you’re a veteran or a newcomer, the mission is to find the most profitable plays, identify favorable matchups, and put together a winning lineup. In this early week preview, we’ll kick off your DFS prep with a high-level look at the Week 11 main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel.

We’ll analyze top lines and team totals to identify teams in the best spots for an offensive explosion. This helps us focus on the players likely to provide the best ROI. We will also highlight the players who stand out in our projections at the start of the week as presenting the best values. At the end of the week, a lot of your research should be devoted to determining which of the best points per dollar (PPD) games you trust more than the others. Our goal is to provide you with accurate insights and data-driven visualizations so you can start focusing on the best games before the week begins.

Presentation of the match

I like to start my week with this simple visualization, which shows how favored each team is on the X-axis and the team’s implied total on the Y-axis. Let’s go clockwise, starting with the top left quadrant, and let’s highlight the teams with interesting angles in Week 11.

Note: Sunday night’s Bengals-Chargers game is on the FanDuel main list but is not included on the DraftKings main list.

Top left: Teams in this quadrant are underdogs but are still expected to score above the list average, making them prime candidates for potential shootouts. THE Bengals are only on the FanDuel roster. Expect this offense’s top weapons to be popular in a potential shootout against the Chargers. THE Steelers also having an implied team total right at the slate average. George Pickens could be the next in a long line of wide receivers to feast against Baltimore’s struggling secondary.

Top right: These teams are favored and expected to score above average, making them key targets for both cash games and GPPs. The positive play scripts in this quadrant make it ideal for targeting running backs. THE Lions have a monster team total of 30 points. It would also not be surprising to see Jahmyr Gibbs Or David Montgomery score multiple touchdowns in this one. THE 49ers are the only team with an implied total within four points of Detroit. Christian McCaffrey hasn’t been reinstalled, making him a fantastic option in Week 11. It’s interesting to see Miami30th in points scored per game this season, with the third highest implied team total on the list. De’Von Achane could put up huge numbers if Miami’s offense finally gets going.

Bottom right: These teams are favored but expected to score below average. Running backs in this quadrant are worth considering due to the anticipated positive play scripts; However, caution is advised when selecting players in their passing games, given the low projected totals. Notably, no team favored this week has a below-average implied team total. There are no favored teams with an implied team total below the list average this week.

Bottom left: Teams in this quadrant are underdogs and expected to score below average. It is therefore best to only recruit players in whom you have great confidence.

Best Matches of Week 11

Seasonal averages to date as valuable data points. In this section, we will highlight teams that are expected to score more points than their current season average. This is a simple but effective way to identify teams and players likely to perform better than previous weeks.

In the table below, we compare each team’s implied point total (“Total”) to their average points per game (“PPG”) since the start of the season and calculate the expected score increase for the current week (“Week 11 Boost”). . Here are the best matches:

• THE Dolphins have the third-highest implied team total (25.8) on the roster despite ranking 30th in points per game average this season. From Tua Tagovailoa Returning, they have averaged 25.7 points per game over the last three games, matching their implied total from Week 11.

• THE Jets scored well below his team’s implied total last week, with just 6 points in a 31-6 loss to the Cardinals. Sportsbooks are expecting a rebound, with an implied total of 24.0, which would be their season high if achieved.

• THE Patriots have an implied team total of 19.5 points for Week 11, an increase of 22%, indicating that Drake Maye slightly raised expectations for the offense.

Week 11, worst games

In the table below, we compare each team’s implied point total (“Total”) to their average points per game (“PPG”) since the start of the season and calculate the expected score increase for the current week (“Week 11 Boost”). . For the teams below, this score increase will be negative. Here are the teams expected to score worse than their season averages:

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