When will the winner of the presidential election be declared?

2 minutes ago

Copy the link to this blog post

PEOPLE caught up with MSNBC’s Steve Kornacki ahead of the election to ask the question on everyone’s mind: When will we know our next president?

Kornacki’s TL;DR is that this could be decided quickly if one of them gets a head start, but more likely the Americans will have to be patient.

“It wouldn’t really shock me if it took another few days. I think there’s a wide range of possibilities here,” he told PEOPLE’s Lizzie Hyman, adding that Arizona and Nevada are starting late to process and count the ballots. and Pennsylvania’s timing is a “wild card.”

Kornacki nonetheless hopes the election could be called earlier than it was in 2020, when Joe Biden was not declared the winner until the Saturday after Election Day. Its logic? Mail-in ballots are less popular this year than they were in 2020, while in-person early voting increased. “This is a much more efficient set of votes to count than mail-in voting.”

Read the full story here.

Latest polls show no clear favorite

18 minutes ago

Copy the link to this blog post

Pollsters released their final results in the days leading up to November 5, giving election forecasting models ample time to tabulate scores and predict the presidential winner. Almost all models came to the same conclusion: it could go one way or the other.

This is not to say that the Electoral College will come to a tie, but rather that Harris and Trump have almost equal chances of being the lucky candidate who wins.

Pollsters have worked hard this year to avoid underestimating Trump as they did in 2016 and 2020, but some experts now worry that the way they weighted responses in his favor may actually have overestimated support of the former president by failing to fully consider the momentum behind Harris’ historic election. campaign.

Ultimately, there is no way to know whether this year’s ballot adjustments have resolved or worsened the accuracy problems of previous elections until the ballots have been counted.