The world’s largest outdoor cocktail party takes place as No. 2 Georgia takes on Florida in Week 10 college football on Saturday. Here’s what you need to pay attention to, along with our updated predictions for the game.

Georgia improved to 4-1 in SEC play two weeks ago in a victory at Texas that saved the team’s playoff hopes, but tougher tests await before the selection committee doesn’t sort all that out.

Florida improved to 2-2 in conference play after beating rival Kentucky, but is heading into the most brutal stretch of any college football schedule this season, facing 4 ranked opponents in the final 5 weeks of the year.

What can we expect as the Bulldogs and Gators renew their rivalry this weekend?

Here’s what you need to watch as Georgia and Florida meet in this Week 10 college football matchup, along with our updated predictions for the game.

1. Meeting. Georgian full-back Trevor Etienne left Florida last season and arrived in Athens, waiting for this opportunity to reunite with his former team. He leads the Bulldogs with 422 rushing yards and has scored 7 times, but has yet to eclipse 100 yards in a single game.

Florida is 15th in the SEC and 94th nationally in rush defense this season in terms of total production, but the front seven rotation has greatly improved over the last three games, ranking in the top 30 in this category during this period, and brings his linebackers closer to limiting a lot of gains on the ground.

2. Pressure. Florida’s 5-star freshman quarterback DJ Lagway has quietly improved the Gators’ passing production recently and is currently the SEC’s most efficient passer on deep throws, according to Pro Football Focus numbers.

But he might struggle to find his footing consistently against an aggressive Georgia pass defense that has allowed just 15 completions of 20-plus yards and is blitzing quarterbacks more than ever in the Kirby Smart era . Any early quarterback struggle for UF could be very costly.

3. Turnovers. Florida’s defense has been better at generating takeaways lately, forcing 6 turnovers from opponents in the last 3 games, improving the team’s turnover margin to minus-1 over the year.

Georgia’s Carson Beck has thrown 8 interceptions in his last 4 outings, which has played a role in the team’s generally inconsistent offensive production of late, and could play a recent role in the strength of the Gators defense.

Georgia enters the game with an average 30.5 points per competition this year, ranking 39th nationally, facing a Florida defense allowing 26.3 points per gamein 74th place.

In terms of total production, the Bulldogs average 416.2 yards per game in 2024, ranked 41st in the FBS, as the Gators surrender 398.5 meters on average, good for 86th nationally.

Georgia is good for 0.445 points per game on average this season, ranking 38th in the country, while Florida allows 0.357 points per game on defense, ranking 61st nationally.

On third down, Georgia ranks just 87th in the nation, converting 34 out of 89 possible attempts for a success rate of 38.2 percent this season.

Defensively, Gators allow opponents to convert 39 of 98 opportunities (39.8 percent).

Working in the red zone, Georgia came away with points on 28 of 31 opportunities for one 90.32 percent success rateand 21 of those scores were touchdowns (67.74%).

Florida let its opponents score points 19 out of 23 chances in the red zone for one 82.61 percent pass rate while 13 of those scores were touchdowns (56.52%).

Florida has on average 28.5 points per game this season, ranked 51st nationally, against a Georgia defense which surrenders 19.2 points per game on average, 17th place.

In terms of total production, the Gators are posting 376.8 yards per gamewhich is good for 76th place in the FBS, while the Bulldogs allow 333.3 yards per game on defense, 30th nationally.

Florida is on average 0.458 points per game this season, ranking 33rd in FBS, while Georgia’s defense has allowed its opponents to average 0.286 points per gameranking 21st nationally.

On third down, the Gators offense moved the chains 31 chances out of 78 this season (39.74 percent), while the Bulldogs have allowed teams to convert 27 chances out of 90 (30%).

In the red zone, Florida leaves with points on 27 out of 32 opportunities for one 84.38 percent pass rate while 22 of these scores (68.75%) are touchdowns.

Georgia allows teams to tour 14 out of 17 opportunities in the red zone in points (82.35%), but only 8 of those scores are touchdowns, the third fewest nationally.

Most analytical models side with the Bulldogs defeating the Gators in this game.

This includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to select winners.

Georgia leads the majority 79.9 percent of the most recent computer simulations of the matchup.

That leaves Florida as the presumptive winner in the final. 20.1 percent sims.

Georgia is a 14.5 point favorites against Florida, according to updated lines posted on FanDuel Sportsbook.

FanDuel set the total at 51.5 points for the game (Over -110, Under -110).

And it lists the Moneyline odds for Georgia at -630 and for Florida at +460 to win outright.

Florida should stay in this game for at least the first half, thanks to a Georgia back seven that has been generous to opposing quarterbacks at times, and a front seven unit that has improved and could disrupt the game on the Bulldogs’ floor for a while.

But over time, Georgia’s blitz schemes should eventually shrink Lagway’s pocket enough to the point where he starts making mistakes while Beck and his receivers expose the back end of the Gators secondary.

College football HQ chooses…

More… Georgia vs. Florida score prediction by expert model

When: Saturday November 2
Time: 3:30 p.m. Eastern Time
Television: ABC network

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Game odds are updated periodically and are subject to change.

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