The NASCAR Cup Series championship will be decided Sunday at Phoenix Raceway. The green flag will drop at the final event of the 2024 season at 3 p.m. ET.

Ryan Blaney will look to repeat as Cup Series champion. Joey Logano could be his biggest challenger as he goes for his third title. William Byron and Tyler Reddick aim to win their first-ever Cup Series championship.

Blaney and Logano are tied for the best odds to win the NASCAR Cup championship race, at +250 at BetMGM Sportsbook. Byron has the third-best odds, at +425, and Reddick is apparently a longer shot at +1300.

None of the drivers still alive in the NASCAR playoff race need to win the race to win the championship. The NASCAR champion only has to finish first among the four remaining contenders. So a non-playoff driver could win the race and share some of the spotlight. Martin Truex Jr. (+850) is on pole for his final career race as a full-time Cup Series driver.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Predictions and Best Bets

• Winner: Ryan Blaney (+250 at BetMGM Sportsbooj)
• Non-elimination driver winner: Martin Truex Jr. (+850)
• Far shot: Ross Chastain (+1300)

NASCAR Cup Series championship race odds

• Ryan Blaney +260 at BetMGM
• Joey Logano +260
• William Byron +425
• Christophe Bell +800
• Martin Truex Jr. +900
• Kyle Larson +1100
• Tyler Reddick +1300
• Ross Chastain +1300
• Chase Elliott +1800
• Denis Hamlin +2500
• Ty Gibbs +4000
• Chase Briscoe +8000
• Alex Bowman +8000
• Brad Keselowski +8000
• Bubba Wallace +8000
• Kyle Busch +8000
• Chris Buescher +8000

*odds via BetMGM as of 11/10

Blaney can become the first Cup driver since Jimmie Johnson in 2009-10 to repeat as a Cup Series championship. His Team Penske colleague Logano last won a championship in 2022.

Byron is the only Hendrick Motorsports remaining in the playoff field. Reddick will push for 23XI Racing’s first-ever championship, with team co-owner Michael Jordan watching.

Viewing driver history at Phoenix, as well as recent results from 2024 and pre-race events can give you a better idea of ​​the best bets. Be sure to spread multiple recommended bets, as a wreck can take a driver you’re betting on out of the race, and guys like Christopher Bell and Kyle Larson can win the race to end their season strong even if they can’t not win. the title.

Logano qualified on the front row with Truex on Saturday. Blaney was the only one of the four title contenders not to make it out of the first qualifying round and he will start 17th. Byron will start eighth and Reddick is 10th on the starting grid.

NASCAR Cup Series championship favorites

Blaney (+250 on BetMGM sports betting) has never won at Phoenix Raceway. But he came very close in recent events, with three consecutive second places before scoring a top 5 in the first race at the venue this season.

Blaney was the fastest and had the best average of 10 consecutive laps during Friday’s practice session and can easily overtake his starting position quickly.

Logano is a three-time winner in Phoenix. He won the second PR race in 2022 to clinch the championship. His most recent victory this season dates back to October 20 in Las Vegas. Overall, however, Logano has only finished in the top 5 once in his last eight starts.

Byron will attempt to capitalize on recent public relations momentum. He won the inaugural race at the venue last season and finished fourth in the championship race. He finished fourth in practice and has four top-four finishes in his last six starts this season. Byron has not placed lower than sixth during this period.

NASCAR Cup Series championship contenders

Reddick is the only driver in the Championship Group Four who has never won at Phoenix. He recorded top 3 finishes at the venue in 2022 and 2023. He placed 10th in 10 consecutive average rounds during testing, and that performance is what may have put him outside the pack of top contenders for win this race.

Bell is furious after a controversial finish at Martinsville that he says cost him a championship shot. He won the first race at the PR this season and should be considered the best bet outside of the four official contenders for the title.

Truex would love to ride off into the sunset with his 35th career victory. He last won at PR in 2021. Larson has finished in the top 4 in two of his last three starts in Phoenix. Truex finished second in practice and Larson third.

Long Shots and Sleepers of the NASCAR Cup Series Championship

Ross Chastain is the reigning race winner and has finished in the top 3 in three of his last five GOLD starts. He will start third on Sunday. In Phoenix’s first race this season, Ty Gibbs started second and finished third. Chris Buescher has finished second and fifth in his last two starts at Phoenix. He starts 24th but he would get through it